The elections in Catalonia next Wednesday, November 1, will mark a antyes and after in the autonomous region, but also be a reference to take into account the 2008 national elections.
intoaccount polls and by different agencies and media CIU offer a slight majority over who would become his closest rival, the PSC . But it would not be enough to govern alone, so the need for partnerships between the different political parties will be required to form a new government in Catalonia.
The possibilities are many, but three are the most likely options:
- Covenant CIU and Covenant
- PSC PSC, ERC and IPCV
- Covenant CIU and ERC
In my opinion, three possibilities are dire. But the lesser evil would be the first, and qu it would be a pact between the forces representing the vast majority of Catalonia, and in principle, two moderate parties.
The second option, the tripartite, has demonstrated the problems and deficiencies that we saw during the term of Maragall, so re-re-edit would be a grave error. And finally, the third option, is too dangerous, because if you have a government partner ERC is an ordeal, a nationalist coalition believe just more problems the whole of Spain, and secured, that Ines Catalan community.
I think it is best first option and that is the most probable, since the PSOE has brought with Artur Mas positions in these months, so a pact in Catalonia in Spain would be a covenant for future elections Zapatero hopes to return to winning and that support the SIC could be decisive.
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